Prospects · 2026–27

Luka Arkko

#— · Left wing · shoots L · 6′3″, 212 lb · age 18 · Lahti, FIN

Status Prospect rookie-eligible · draft+0 · 0 NHL games so far pipeline rank 21 · expected peak 8
Drafted2026175th overall · round 6 · DET
Age18born Jan 14, 2008
This season · OHL6games · Erie Otters
Goals · assists · points3–1–4+1 · 0 pim

Pipeline Rankings

21st of 34 Red Wings prospects, shown with the two ranked above him and the two below.

RankPlayerPosLeagueLeague strengthGPGAPSince Oct 6
19 Michal Svrcek LW/RW OHL 0.144 9 1 2 3 –
20 Dylan James LW AHL 0.389 5 1 2 3 –
21 Luka Arkko LW OHL 0.144 6 3 1 4 –
22 Myles Brosnan D QMJHL 0.113 8 3 4 7 –
23 Nikita Tyurin D VHL 0.328 12 0 1 1 –

This season's line in each player's main league (the one with the most games). League strength is the Network NHLe coefficient from hockeystats.com. The ranking runs on last season's numbers until a player's current line reaches 10 games, then on this season's. Since Oct 6 counts the places moved from the start-of-season ranking.

Where he projects

Four reads, every one measured against forwards only, built on his 2025–26 season across the U18 SM-sarja and U20 SM-sarja.

League strength0.083U20 SM-sarja coefficient · a point there is worth 8% of an NHL point
Production, age-relative—no same-year table for this league yet · NHLe 4.3 per 82
Ceilingreplacement levelthe upside case, not the forecast: 20% of 50 comparable paths reached replacement level or better; the 75th percentile lands at the 0th percentile of NHL forwards · expected peak 8 (cohort 9, draft slot weighted 0.5) · 20% became NHL regulars
Trajectory+0.8NHLe per 82: 3.4 in the U18 SM-sarja, 2024–25 to 4.3 in the U20 SM-sarja, 2025–26
Closest paths at age 17DraftLeague thenNHLe / 82NHL outcomeNHL GP
Tyler Moy2015 · 175USHL4.2did not stick0
Nikita Nesterenko2019 · 172USHS-Prep4.3did not stick63
Chase Balisy2011 · 170NTDP4.2did not stick8
Chase Lang2014 · 167WHL4.3did not stick0
Rodrigo Ābols2016 · 184MHL4.3replacement level · 17th64
Matej Stransky2011 · 165WHL4.3did not stick0
Anton Blidh2013 · 180J20 SuperElit4.1did not stick89
Mitch Callahan2009 · 180WHL4.4did not stick5

Draft pedigree. Picks 121-300 at the position, 586 of them since 2008: 16% became NHL regulars, 4% reached top-line production, expected peak 8. It carries weight 0.5 this season (the draft year); pedigree counts most in the draft year and nothing from draft+2.

This season so far. 63rd percentile among OHL forwards born 2008 after 6 games (84 of them).

Games behind the numbers. 42 in 2025–26, 50 comparable paths from a pool of 1374.

League strength is the Network NHLe points coefficient from hockeystats.com (Patrick Bacon). Production is points per game among skaters of the same position and the same age in the same league and season (EliteProspects tables). Ceiling: the nearest 50 drafted skaters of the 2008–2019 classes at the same position and age, matched on NHLe and draft slot, and where each one's best NHL season landed as a points-per-game percentile among regulars at the position; a player who never had a half-season in the NHL counts as zero. Tiers follow the W-Value on the NHL pages: elite 88+, top-line 73+, above average 50+, below average 27+. NHL usage, for a skater with three or more NHL games this season: the nearest 50 rookie NHL seasons (5+ games, 2008–2019 classes, through 2022–23) at his position within a year of his age, matched on ice time per game and, at half weight, on points per game pulled toward the group average while his sample is small; their mean peak blends into the expected peak at weight games ÷ (games + 20). NHL games are never matched against minor-league seasons.

Where he played

Every line since his draft year, 2026, newest first. Counting stats only: no public expected-goals model covers the leagues below the NHL, so nothing here is presented as comparable across them.

SeasonLeagueTeamGPGAP+/−PIM
2026–27OHLErie Otters6314+10
International-JrFinland U20 (all)1011—0

A W-Value arrives once he has an NHL season large enough to rate; until then he is listed with the prospects.