Prospects · 2026–27

Austin Baker

#— · Left wing · shoots L · 6′0″, 190 lb · age 20 · White Lake, USA

Status Prospect rookie-eligible · draft+2 · 0 NHL games so far pipeline rank 29 · expected peak 2
Drafted2024203rd overall · round 7 · DET
Age20born Feb 12, 2006
This season · NCAA2games · Miami Univ. (Ohio)
Goals · assists · points1–1–20 · 0 pim

Pipeline Rankings

29th of 34 Red Wings prospects, shown with the two ranked above him and the two below.

RankPlayerPosLeagueLeague strengthGPGAPSince Oct 6
27 Fisher Scott D NCAA 0.194 2 0 1 1 ▲ 1
28 Sutter Muzzatti F AHL 0.389 3 1 0 1 ▲ 1
29 Austin Baker LW NCAA 0.194 2 1 1 2 ▲ 1
30 Kevin Bicker LW/RW DEL 0.352 8 0 0 0 ▲ 1
31 Brennan Ali C/LW NCAA · 2025–26 0.194 — — — — ▲ 1

This season's line in each player's main league (the one with the most games). League strength is the Network NHLe coefficient from hockeystats.com. The ranking runs on last season's numbers until a player's current line reaches 10 games, then on this season's. Since Oct 6 counts the places moved from the start-of-season ranking. A league in grey with 2025–26 beside it means no games yet this season.

Where he projects

Four reads, every one measured against forwards only, built on his 2025–26 season in the NCAA.

League strength0.194NCAA coefficient · a point there is worth 19% of an NHL point
Production, age-relative0thpercentile among NCAA forwards born 2006, 2025–26 (49 of them) · NHLe 1.1 per 82
Ceilingreplacement levelthe upside case, not the forecast: 2% of 50 comparable paths reached replacement level or better; the 75th percentile lands at the 0th percentile of NHL forwards · expected peak 2 (cohort 0, draft slot weighted 0.25) · 2% became NHL regulars
Trajectory−5.3NHLe per 82: 6.5 in the USHL, 2024–25 to 1.1 in the NCAA, 2025–26
Closest paths at age 19DraftLeague thenNHLe / 82NHL outcomeNHL GP
Rasmus Bodin2012 · 200J20 SuperElit1.1did not stick0
Jared Fiegl2014 · 191NCAA1.1did not stick0
Maxwell Tardy2009 · 202NCAA1.8did not stick0
Petr Placek2011 · 176NCAA1.1did not stick0
Riley Hughes2018 · 216NCAA1.9did not stick0
Ashton Bernard2009 · 174QMJHL1.6did not stick0
Hunter Fejes2012 · 178NCAA0.6did not stick0
Christian Isackson2010 · 203NCAA0.0did not stick0

Draft pedigree. Picks 121-300 at the position, 586 of them since 2008: 16% became NHL regulars, 4% reached top-line production, expected peak 8. It carries weight 0.25 this season (draft+1); pedigree counts most in the draft year and nothing from draft+2.

Games behind the numbers. 14 in 2025–26, 49 same-year forwards in the table, 50 comparable paths from a pool of 1305.

League strength is the Network NHLe points coefficient from hockeystats.com (Patrick Bacon). Production is points per game among skaters of the same position and the same age in the same league and season (EliteProspects tables). Ceiling: the nearest 50 drafted skaters of the 2008–2019 classes at the same position and age, matched on NHLe and draft slot, and where each one's best NHL season landed as a points-per-game percentile among regulars at the position; a player who never had a half-season in the NHL counts as zero. Tiers follow the W-Value on the NHL pages: elite 88+, top-line 73+, above average 50+, below average 27+. NHL usage, for a skater with three or more NHL games this season: the nearest 50 rookie NHL seasons (5+ games, 2008–2019 classes, through 2022–23) at his position within a year of his age, matched on ice time per game and, at half weight, on points per game pulled toward the group average while his sample is small; their mean peak blends into the expected peak at weight games ÷ (games + 20). NHL games are never matched against minor-league seasons.

Where he played

Every line since his draft year, 2024, newest first. Counting stats only: no public expected-goals model covers the leagues below the NHL, so nothing here is presented as comparable across them.

SeasonLeagueTeamGPGAP+/−PIM
2026–27NCAAMiami Univ. (Ohio)211200
2025–26NCAAMichigan State Univ.14011015
2024–25USHLSioux Falls Stampede56102131+1119

A W-Value arrives once he has an NHL season large enough to rate; until then he is listed with the prospects.