Prospects · 2026–27

Will Murphy

#— · Defense · shoots L · 6′4″, 211 lb · age 19 · Summerside, CAN

Status Prospect rookie-eligible · draft+1 · 0 NHL games so far pipeline rank 24 · expected peak 5
Drafted2025172nd overall · round 6 · DET
Age19born Aug 24, 2007
This season—games · none yet
Goals · assists · points—–—–—

Pipeline Rankings

24th of 34 Red Wings prospects, shown with the two ranked above him and the two below.

RankPlayerPosLeagueLeague strengthGPGAPSince Oct 6
22 Myles Brosnan D QMJHL 0.113 8 3 4 7 –
23 Nikita Tyurin D VHL 0.328 12 0 1 1 –
24 Will Murphy D QMJHL · 2025–26 0.113 — — — — –
25 John Whipple D NCAA 0.194 2 0 0 0 –
26 Grayden Robertson-Palmer C/LW QMJHL · 2025–26 0.113 — — — — –

This season's line in each player's main league (the one with the most games). League strength is the Network NHLe coefficient from hockeystats.com. The ranking runs on last season's numbers until a player's current line reaches 10 games, then on this season's. Since Oct 6 counts the places moved from the start-of-season ranking. A league in grey with 2025–26 beside it means no games yet this season.

Where he projects

Four reads, every one measured against defensemen only, built on his 2025–26 season in the QMJHL.

League strength0.113QMJHL coefficient · a point there is worth 11% of an NHL point
Production, age-relative41stpercentile among QMJHL defensemen born 2007, 2025–26 (54 of them) · NHLe 2.0 per 82
Ceilingreplacement levelthe upside case, not the forecast: 8% of 50 comparable paths reached replacement level or better; the 75th percentile lands at the 0th percentile of NHL defensemen · expected peak 5 (cohort 4, draft slot weighted 0.5) · 8% became NHL regulars
Trajectory+1.3NHLe per 82: 0.7 in the QMJHL, 2024–25 to 2.0 in the QMJHL, 2025–26
Closest paths at age 18DraftLeague thenNHLe / 82NHL outcomeNHL GP
Trent Bourque2017 · 175OHL2.0did not stick0
Braden Birch2008 · 179OJHL2.0did not stick0
Anthony Bitetto2010 · 168EJHL1.9replacement level · 14th197
Cliff Watson2012 · 168USHL2.1did not stick0
Patrick Holway2015 · 170USHL2.1did not stick0
Ivan Chukarov2015 · 182NAHL2.0did not stick0
Santeri Saari2013 · 173Mestis1.7did not stick0
Nate Clurman2016 · 161USHS-Prep2.0did not stick1

Draft pedigree. Picks 121-300 at the position, 380 of them since 2008: 15% became NHL regulars, 3% reached top-line production, expected peak 7. It carries weight 0.5 this season (the draft year); pedigree counts most in the draft year and nothing from draft+2.

Games behind the numbers. 38 in 2025–26, 54 same-year defensemen in the table, 50 comparable paths from a pool of 837.

League strength is the Network NHLe points coefficient from hockeystats.com (Patrick Bacon). Production is points per game among skaters of the same position and the same age in the same league and season (EliteProspects tables). Ceiling: the nearest 50 drafted skaters of the 2008–2019 classes at the same position and age, matched on NHLe and draft slot, and where each one's best NHL season landed as a points-per-game percentile among regulars at the position; a player who never had a half-season in the NHL counts as zero. Tiers follow the W-Value on the NHL pages: elite 88+, top-line 73+, above average 50+, below average 27+. NHL usage, for a skater with three or more NHL games this season: the nearest 50 rookie NHL seasons (5+ games, 2008–2019 classes, through 2022–23) at his position within a year of his age, matched on ice time per game and, at half weight, on points per game pulled toward the group average while his sample is small; their mean peak blends into the expected peak at weight games ÷ (games + 20). NHL games are never matched against minor-league seasons.

Where he played

Every line since his draft year, 2025, newest first. Counting stats only: no public expected-goals model covers the leagues below the NHL, so nothing here is presented as comparable across them.

SeasonLeagueTeamGPGAP+/−PIM
2025–26QMJHLCape Breton Eagles38448+651

A W-Value arrives once he has an NHL season large enough to rate; until then he is listed with the prospects.