Prospects · 2026–27
Carter Bear
#41 · Left wing · shoots L · 6′1″, 190 lb · age 19 · West St. Paul, CAN
Pipeline Rankings
1st of 34 Red Wings prospects, shown with the four ranked below him.
| Rank | Player | Pos | League | League strength | GP | G | A | P | Since Oct 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carter Bear | LW/C | AHL | 0.389 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | – |
| 2 | J.P. Hurlbert | F | NCAA | 0.194 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | ▲ 1 |
| 3 | Trey Augustine | G | AHL | 0.389 | 2 | .857 sv% | ▲ 1 | ||
| 4 | Eddie Genborg | LW/RW | SHL | 0.566 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | ▲ 1 |
| 5 | Max Plante | C | NCAA | 0.194 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | ▲ 1 |
This season's line in each player's main league (the one with the most games). League strength is the Network NHLe coefficient from hockeystats.com. The ranking runs on last season's numbers until a player's current line reaches 10 games, then on this season's. Since Oct 6 counts the places moved from the start-of-season ranking.
Where he projects
Four reads, every one measured against forwards only, built on his 2025–26 season across the WHL and WJC-20.
| Closest paths at age 18 | Draft | League then | NHLe / 82 | NHL outcome | NHL GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Grigorenko | 2012 · 12 | QMJHL | 16.1 | below average · 40th | 249 |
| Zach Boychuk | 2008 · 14 | WHL | 16.0 | did not stick | 127 |
| Brendan Perlini | 2014 · 12 | OHL | 16.5 | below average · 42nd | 262 |
| Peter Holland | 2009 · 15 | OHL | 16.0 | below average · 48th | 266 |
| Joel Farabee | 2018 · 14 | NCAA | 15.5 | top-line · 78th | 500 |
| Grigori Denisenko | 2018 · 15 | KHL | 16.6 | did not stick | 33 |
| Sonny Milano | 2014 · 16 | OHL | 16.2 | above average · 56th | 344 |
| Vasili Podkolzin | 2019 · 10 | KHL | 16.0 | below average · 47th | 304 |
Draft pedigree. Picks 6-15 at the position, 72 of them since 2008: 89% became NHL regulars, 53% reached top-line production, expected peak 66. It carries weight 0.5 this season (the draft year); pedigree counts most in the draft year and nothing from draft+2.
This season so far. 61st percentile among AHL forwards born 2006 after 3 games (28 of them).
Games behind the numbers. 53 in 2025–26, 70 same-year forwards in the table, 50 comparable paths from a pool of 1362.
League strength is the Network NHLe points coefficient from hockeystats.com (Patrick Bacon). Production is points per game among skaters of the same position and the same age in the same league and season (EliteProspects tables). Ceiling: the nearest 50 drafted skaters of the 2008–2019 classes at the same position and age, matched on NHLe and draft slot, and where each one's best NHL season landed as a points-per-game percentile among regulars at the position; a player who never had a half-season in the NHL counts as zero. Tiers follow the W-Value on the NHL pages: elite 88+, top-line 73+, above average 50+, below average 27+. NHL usage, for a skater with three or more NHL games this season: the nearest 50 rookie NHL seasons (5+ games, 2008–2019 classes, through 2022–23) at his position within a year of his age, matched on ice time per game and, at half weight, on points per game pulled toward the group average while his sample is small; their mean peak blends into the expected peak at weight games ÷ (games + 20). NHL games are never matched against minor-league seasons.
Where he played
Every line since his draft year, 2025, newest first. Counting stats only: no public expected-goals model covers the leagues below the NHL, so nothing here is presented as comparable across them.
| Season | League | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/− | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026–27 | AHL | Grand Rapids Griffins | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 0 |
| 2025–26 | WHL | Everett Silvertips | 53 | 36 | 41 | 77 | +45 | 56 |
| WJC-20 | Canada U20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
A W-Value arrives once he has an NHL season large enough to rate; until then he is listed with the prospects.