Prospects · 2026–27

JP Hurlbert

#— · Left wing · shoots R · 6′0″, 183 lb · age 18 · Allen, USA

Status Prospect rookie-eligible · draft+0 · 0 NHL games so far pipeline rank 2 · expected peak 49
Drafted202623rd overall · round 1 · DET
Age18born Apr 11, 2008
This season · NCAA4games · Univ. of Michigan
Goals · assists · points1–1–20 · 4 pim

Pipeline Rankings

2nd of 34 Red Wings prospects, shown with the one ranked above him and the three below.

RankPlayerPosLeagueLeague strengthGPGAPSince Oct 6
1 Carter Bear LW/C AHL 0.389 3 1 1 2 –
2 J.P. Hurlbert F NCAA 0.194 4 1 1 2 ▲ 1
3 Trey Augustine G AHL 0.389 2 .857 sv% ▲ 1
4 Eddie Genborg LW/RW SHL 0.566 8 2 2 4 ▲ 1
5 Max Plante C NCAA 0.194 2 0 2 2 ▲ 1

This season's line in each player's main league (the one with the most games). League strength is the Network NHLe coefficient from hockeystats.com. The ranking runs on last season's numbers until a player's current line reaches 10 games, then on this season's. Since Oct 6 counts the places moved from the start-of-season ranking.

Where he projects

Four reads, every one measured against forwards only, built on his 2025–26 season in the WHL.

League strength0.141WHL coefficient · a point there is worth 14% of an NHL point
Production, age-relative97thpercentile among WHL forwards born 2008, 2025–26 (89 of them) · NHLe 16.5 per 82
Ceilingelitethe upside case, not the forecast: 32% of 50 comparable paths reached elite or better; the 75th percentile lands at the 92nd percentile of NHL forwards · expected peak 49 (cohort 57, draft slot weighted 0.5) · 80% became NHL regulars
Trajectory+8.4NHLe per 82: 8.1 in the NTDP, 2024–25 to 16.5 in the WHL, 2025–26
Closest paths at age 17DraftLeague thenNHLe / 82NHL outcomeNHL GP
David Pastrňák2014 · 25HockeyAllsvenskan16.9elite · 99th837
Nikolai Goldobin2014 · 27OHL16.6below average · 48th125
Hunter Shinkaruk2013 · 24WHL15.5did not stick15
Kailer Yamamoto2017 · 22WHL17.6above average · 55th374
Isac Lundeström2018 · 23SHL15.1below average · 36th405
Kyle Connor2015 · 17USHL16.7elite · 98th698
Robby Fabbri2014 · 21OHL17.7above average · 70th463
Yevgeni Kuznetsov2010 · 26KHL15.3elite · 97th743

Draft pedigree. Picks 16-32 at the position, 131 of them since 2008: 72% became NHL regulars, 28% reached top-line production, expected peak 42. It carries weight 0.5 this season (the draft year); pedigree counts most in the draft year and nothing from draft+2.

Games behind the numbers. 68 in 2025–26, 89 same-year forwards in the table, 50 comparable paths from a pool of 1374.

League strength is the Network NHLe points coefficient from hockeystats.com (Patrick Bacon). Production is points per game among skaters of the same position and the same age in the same league and season (EliteProspects tables). Ceiling: the nearest 50 drafted skaters of the 2008–2019 classes at the same position and age, matched on NHLe and draft slot, and where each one's best NHL season landed as a points-per-game percentile among regulars at the position; a player who never had a half-season in the NHL counts as zero. Tiers follow the W-Value on the NHL pages: elite 88+, top-line 73+, above average 50+, below average 27+. NHL usage, for a skater with three or more NHL games this season: the nearest 50 rookie NHL seasons (5+ games, 2008–2019 classes, through 2022–23) at his position within a year of his age, matched on ice time per game and, at half weight, on points per game pulled toward the group average while his sample is small; their mean peak blends into the expected peak at weight games ÷ (games + 20). NHL games are never matched against minor-league seasons.

Where he played

Every line since his draft year, 2026, newest first. Counting stats only: no public expected-goals model covers the leagues below the NHL, so nothing here is presented as comparable across them.

SeasonLeagueTeamGPGAP+/−PIM
2026–27NCAAUniv. of Michigan411204

A W-Value arrives once he has an NHL season large enough to rate; until then he is listed with the prospects.